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The Erosion of Currencies

Nov 17, 2024
Vorpp Capital Insights Episode 33

Over time, the value of fiat currencies - like the U.S. dollar - has been steadily eroded by inflation and excessive money printing. What appears on the surface as an increase in asset prices often reflects a decline in the purchasing power of fiat money rather than a genuine rise in the intrinsic value of those assets. For investors and savers alike, this phenomenon underscores the importance of putting money to work rather than letting it sit idle in low-interest or no-interest accounts. It also opens the door to exploring alternative assets like Bitcoin, which some view as a hedge against fiat currency devaluation.

This article dives into the mechanisms of fiat currency devaluation, its impact on purchasing power and assets, and how thoughtful asset allocation can protect and grow wealth in this challenging environment.


The Problem: Declining Purchasing Power

The purchasing power of fiat currencies has been in steady decline, a trend observable across decades. The root causes include:

  1. Inflation: Central banks often target moderate inflation rates (e.g., 2% per year in the U.S.) to encourage economic growth. However, even "moderate" inflation compounds over time, significantly eroding the value of money. A dollar in 1970 could buy far more than a dollar today.

  2. Excessive Money Printing: In response to economic crises, governments and central banks often inject liquidity into the financial system by printing money. While this can stabilize economies in the short term, it devalues the currency over time.

  3. Debt Monetization: Governments with high levels of debt sometimes rely on inflation to reduce the real burden of their obligations. While this may be advantageous for borrowers, it punishes savers.

Real-World Example: The Dollar's Erosion

Between 2000 and 2020, the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar declined by roughly 40%, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This means that $1 in 2000 had the same purchasing power as approximately $0.60 in 2020. For savers holding cash, this represents a significant loss in real terms.


The Illusion of Asset Gains

When you see the value of stocks, real estate, or other assets rise, it’s easy to assume you’ve made a profit. However, much of this "gain" may merely reflect the depreciation of the currency in which the asset is priced.

  1. Asset Price Inflation: Central banks' monetary policies, such as low interest rates and quantitative easing, tend to drive asset prices higher. Stocks, real estate, and other investments rise not necessarily because they are becoming more valuable in real terms, but because the currency used to buy them is losing value.

  2. Nominal vs. Real Returns: Nominal returns are what you see on paper—an increase in the price of an asset. Real returns adjust for inflation and reflect the true increase in your purchasing power. Often, nominal gains look far better than real gains.

Case Study: Real Estate

Consider a property purchased for $100,000 in 2000 that is now worth $300,000. While this appears to be a 200% gain, if inflation during that period averaged 2.5% annually, the real purchasing power of that $300,000 is closer to $180,000 in 2000 dollars. The "gain" is much less impressive when adjusted for inflation.


The Dangers of Idle Money

Leaving money in a savings account, particularly one with low or no interest, is one of the riskiest long-term financial strategies. Here's why:

  1. Erosion by Inflation: Inflation silently eats away at the value of cash. Even at a modest 2% inflation rate, $1,000 in cash loses half its purchasing power in approximately 35 years.

  2. Opportunity Cost: Idle money is money not working for you. By leaving cash in low-yield accounts, you miss out on the potential gains from investing in higher-yielding assets.

  3. Negative Real Interest Rates: When the interest earned on savings is lower than the inflation rate, the real return on savings is negative. This means you’re effectively paying to keep your money in cash.

Example: Savings Account vs. Investment

Suppose you save $10,000 in a savings account earning 0.5% annual interest. Over a decade, your balance grows to $10,511. However, if inflation averages 2% annually, the purchasing power of that $10,511 is equivalent to just $8,638 in today’s dollars—a net loss of $1,362 in real terms.


The Solution: Make Money Work for You

To counteract the erosion of purchasing power, money needs to be actively invested. The goal is not just to preserve wealth but to grow it at a rate that outpaces inflation.

  1. Investing in Equities: Stocks historically offer returns that significantly outpace inflation. Over the past century, U.S. equities have delivered average annual returns of approximately 7% after inflation, making them a powerful tool for long-term wealth creation.

  2. Real Estate: As a tangible asset, real estate often serves as a hedge against inflation. Rental income and property values tend to rise with inflation, preserving purchasing power.

  3. Commodities: Commodities like gold and silver are traditional inflation hedges. While they don’t generate income, their value often rises when fiat currencies lose purchasing power.

  4. Alternative Assets: Cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, have emerged as a hedge against fiat currency devaluation. Bitcoin’s capped supply and decentralized nature make it attractive to investors concerned about inflation and currency manipulation.

Why Bitcoin Matters

Bitcoin, often referred to as "digital gold," is designed to be deflationary. Its finite supply of 21 million coins ensures scarcity, contrasting sharply with fiat currencies, which can be printed indefinitely. While Bitcoin is highly volatile and speculative, it has gained recognition as a store of value and hedge against monetary debasement.


The Role of Diversification

A well-diversified portfolio is critical to navigating the challenges posed by fiat currency devaluation. By spreading investments across asset classes, investors can balance growth potential with risk management.

  1. Balancing Risk and Reward: Diversification helps mitigate the risks associated with any single asset class, ensuring that losses in one area don’t derail the entire portfolio.

  2. Including Alternative Assets: Adding Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies to a diversified portfolio can enhance returns while providing a hedge against inflation. However, these assets should be a small percentage of the overall allocation due to their volatility.


The Importance of Starting Early

Time is one of the most powerful tools in investing. The earlier you start, the more time your money has to grow through the power of compounding. Delaying investments, even by a few years, can significantly impact long-term wealth accumulation.

Compounding Example

Investing $10,000 annually at an average return of 7% yields $1.1 million after 30 years. Waiting five years to start reduces the final balance to $739,000—a difference of over $360,000.


The Bigger Picture: Fiat Currency and Civilization

The decline in fiat purchasing power isn’t just a financial issue; it’s a societal one. When money loses value, economic inequality often widens, trust in financial institutions erodes, and systemic risks increase.

  1. Wealth Inequality: Those with access to investment opportunities can protect and grow their wealth, while those who rely on cash savings fall behind.

  2. Systemic Risks: Persistent currency devaluation can lead to economic instability, social unrest, and loss of confidence in governments and central banks.


Conclusion: Protecting Your Wealth in a Fiat World

The decline in fiat currency purchasing power is an unavoidable reality, but it doesn’t have to erode your financial future. By understanding the mechanisms behind currency devaluation and taking proactive steps to invest in growth-oriented and inflation-resistant assets, you can preserve and grow your wealth over time.

At Vorpp Capital, we advocate for a strategic, diversified approach to investing. Whether it’s equities, real estate, commodities, or Bitcoin, the goal is to ensure your money is working for you—not sitting idle, losing value. Start now, stay disciplined, and let your investments secure your financial future.

Not a registered financial advisor. Information for informational and educational purposes only.