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Inside Washington's 100-Year Venezuela Oil Deal

Sep 04, 2026

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Inside Washington's 100-Year Venezuela Oil Deal Sep 04, 2026

On 31 August the White House published a fact sheet setting out the mechanics of what President Trump had announced three days earlier as a historic oil agreement with Caracas. Venezuela's interim aut...

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Japan's 3% Bond and the End of Cheap Money Sep 02, 2026

On Tuesday afternoon in Tokyo, a number appeared on screens that has not been seen since Bill Clinton's first term. Japan's benchmark 10-year government bond yield hit 3% for the first time since Sept...

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Warsh, Bessent and Who Sets Interest Rates Now Aug 28, 2026

Kevin Warsh is about to deliver his first Jackson Hole keynote as Federal Reserve chair on this  Friday morning, three months into the job and into the most awkward set of circumstances a new chair ha...

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Canada Matches Trump's Tariffs Dollar for Dollar Aug 26, 2026

Trade negotiators from the United States and Canada spent three days at the offices of the US Trade Representative in Washington in the third week of August. On the Thursday, Canada's lead negotiator ...

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The Plumbing Behind America's Economic D-Day Aug 24, 2026

On Sunday evening, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent published an opinion piece in the Financial Times declaring that "at dawn begins an economic D-Day," which he described as the single greatest fi...

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Why AI Debt Is Showing Up in Mortgage Rates Aug 21, 2026

From the start of January to the middle of August, American companies sold a record $1.68 trillion of bonds, roughly 27 percent more than over the same stretch a year earlier. A large and fast-growing...

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What Treasury Buybacks Actually Do Aug 20, 2026

On 19 August the US Treasury issued a short press release that quietly cancelled a schedule it had published exactly two weeks earlier. The department said it was increasing, by at least double, the s...

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Government Shutdown and What It Means for Markets Oct 01, 2025

Last night, the U.S. government entered a shutdown. Congress failed to pass funding before the deadline, triggering a lapse in appropriations that forces many federal agencies to halt nonessential ope...

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Are We on the Brink of World War 3 Sep 27, 2025

Throughout history, global conflicts have emerged not as singular events but as the result of rising tensions, alliances, and accidents that spiraled out of control. When we look at the current global...

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Natural Gas and the AI Energy Revolution Sep 24, 2025

Artificial intelligence is on a trajectory to transform economies, industries, and societies at an unprecedented pace. But behind every breakthrough in machine learning, generative AI, and autonomous ...

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A New Alliance Reshapes the Middle East and Beyond Sep 20, 2025

Saudi Arabia has just signed a mutual defense pact with Pakistan. The agreement is simple but monumental: any attack on one country will be treated as an attack on both. For the Middle East and the wi...

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The Fed Rate Cut Everyone Expects Sep 17, 2025

The Federal Reserve finds itself at a critical juncture. Markets have been pricing in a 25 basis point cut for September, and expectations are running so high that anything other than this outcome wou...

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A Short History of Financial Exuberance Sep 13, 2025

Financial markets have always been a reflection of human psychology. Behind every chart, ticker, and economic report lies the constant interplay of fear and greed. While technology, regulation, and gl...

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America’s Job Market Is a Mirage Sep 10, 2025

The markets were shaken yesterday when the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) quietly revealed the largest job revision in over a decade. A total of 911,000 jobs that were previously reported as created...

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The Bigger Risk Behind the Weak Job Report Sep 06, 2025

The latest job report confirmed what markets have been sensing for months: the United States economy is losing steam. Payroll growth came in far below expectations, while previous reports were revised...

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Why September Could Surprise Investors Sep 03, 2025

September has a reputation on Wall Street that makes many investors uneasy. The month is known as the weakest period of the year for the S&P 500, with historical data showing consistent underperforman...

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The Constitutional Clash Over Tariffs and Presidential Power Aug 30, 2025

For years, tariffs have been one of the most controversial tools in U.S. economic policy. They sit at the intersection of global trade, domestic politics, and constitutional law. At the heart of the d...

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Rare Earths: The Hidden Backbone of Modern Technology Aug 27, 2025

When investors think about commodities, the usual suspects come to mind. Oil, gold, copper, maybe lithium. Yet, there is an entire group of elements that are even more critical to modern life and glob...

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The Hidden Market Signal That Indicated the Fed Rate Cut Aug 23, 2025

Over the past several weeks, one of the most surprising developments in the market has not come from the tech sector or from the AI giants that have dominated headlines all year. Instead, it has been ...

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Jackson Hole Preview: Powell’s Balancing Act Aug 20, 2025

Every August, global markets turn their eyes to Jackson Hole, Wyoming. The annual Federal Reserve gathering has become one of the most important events of the year for monetary policy watchers. While ...

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